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Monday Memo: Blue Christmas, Bleak January, Big Opportunity

| November 23, 2020

By Holland Cooke
Consultant

 

BLOCK ISLAND, RI — Sad prediction: On Thursday, we will blow it. We, not The Grinch, will steal Christmas.

  • Dr. Fauci and the Biden transition team’s pandemic advisers and state governors are pleading with us to skip Thanksgiving this year. It doesn’t take a rally. Contact tracing pinpoints “small social gatherings” as significant spreader events. We’re begged to Zoom instead of hugging those we only get to hug once a year.
  • Predictably, we won’t. United Airlines alone added 1,400 flights. Then do the math. Figure 2-3 weeks, like after Easter/Passover, then after The Fourth, then after Justice Coney Barrett’s Rose Garden introduction. Hug grandparents on Thanksgiving and you might not be able to on Christmas.
  • Consensus forecasts: At present rates, another hundred thousand Americans will die before the Inauguration; and January will be worse than April was.

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